Live trading signal
Our fair-value model vs. the market, updated every few seconds. A signal fires when the model's edge clears the fee-covering threshold (≥ 8%).
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waiting for live data…
Model probability
UP—
DOWN—
Confidence—
Fair value vs market
UP fair / market— / —
DOWN fair / market— / —
UP edge—
DOWN edge—
Round context
Round—
BTC vs open—
Time to close--:--
BTC 15m move—
BTC 1h move—
BTC price & model P(up)
BTCopenP(up)
Model vs reality the last resolved rounds — was the model's final read right?
| Round | Δ at close | Model P(up) | Result | Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| loading… | ||||
Signals are model output, not advice. The 8% edge threshold exists because fees and slippage eat thin edges alive.
Why the price source matters CHAINLINK
These markets resolve on Chainlink BTC/USD Data Streams — not spot. Our engine can read that exact resolution feed as its price source, so the model's fair value lines up with how the market actually settles. A Tether-denominated pair like Binance BTCUSDT sits ~$30 off that USD basis — a systematic bias we avoid by feeding the model the same number the market resolves on.