Live · paper trading

An AI edge for
crypto up/down markets.

A fair-value prediction engine across BTC, ETH and XRP — from 5-minute to hourly rounds — plus a library of farm-verified strategies and a non-custodial trading app; your private key never leaves your device.

Oddsmith is a strategy tool and signal engine — not an exchange. You trade on Polymarket with your own Polymarket wallet; we never hold your funds. An Oddsmith account only saves and syncs your strategies.

📱 Trading app releasing soon — run signed strategies locally on your phone

This page is a read-only window into a live paper-trading engine. Nothing here is financial advice.

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Prediction engine

A fair-value model prices every round in real time — the underlying's remaining move as a normal distribution, collapsing to certainty as the clock runs out. You see P(up), the market price, and the edge between them, live.

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Your keys stay yours

Strategies are signed JSON interpreted on your device. No custody, no API-key uploads: orders are signed locally and go straight to Polymarket. Our servers never see your wallet, trades, or funds.

Farm-verified strategies

Every published strategy paper-trades 24/7 on our verification farm. Net P&L after fees, payoff ratio, drawdown — metrics are measured, never self-reported, and unverified strategies are labelled as such.

Watch it trade — live connecting to the live engine…

Market state
BTC now
Round open
Δ open
Time to close--:--
Trend
⚠ FINAL 60 SECONDS
Prediction engine
UP
DOWN
Fair vs market edge
EV up — EV down —
Strategy brain
loading strategy…
BTC price & model BTCopenP(up)
Live feed
--:--:--connecting…

Position
scanning for a setup…

Strategy performance the featured strategy's live record — every round it traded, win or loss

Win rate
Closed trades
Recent trades
RoundSideResult
loading…

Put a verified strategy to work

Browse the library, read the farm-verified numbers, and be ready when the app ships — it runs everything locally, keys included.

Explore the strategy library →